Monday, June 07, 2004

Stratfor's latest intelligence report on Saudi Arabia has, sadly, proved to be totally accurate:

"Given the blows that Islamist militants have struck -- against both Westerners and, by extension, the Saudi regime -- in recent weeks the support they have garnered from al Qaeda and the inability of the security infrastructure to deal with the threat, Stratfor sees an inevitable increase in the use of small assault teams in strikes against Western assets in the kingdom and beyond.

"Given the success rate of such actions so far -- compared to recent failures to carry out large-scale suicide attacks in Jordan, and the manpower, investment and false starts that went into recent successful
suicide bombings in Riyadh, this methodology of precision over fire-power easily could be adapted to many circumstances and theaters of operation in which Islamist militants have a vested interest in striking at the West."