The press is abuzz with a seemingly unthinkable suggestion -- was George W Bush right all along?
From the New York Times to the Economist, questions are being raised over whether the Iraq war has triggered a wave of political and social reform across the Middle East.
But before we all get too carried away, the front page of today's Independent urges caution.
The Independent's leader writer says:
"Such an interpretation may be seductive - but it is self-serving, dangerous and, above all, wrong. The connection between the invasion of Iraq and the faltering steps towards democracy in parts of the region is tenuous at best."
(The leader is available by subscription only, so here it is as an RTF file.)